Nov 6, 2012 12:00am EST
the summer. >> rose: let me ask about florida, john harris, and pennsylvania. >> it looks like florida is most likely in romney's camp. not certain. it seems to me that if obama wins florida he's going to win a bunch of other states and we'll have a map that looks more like 2008 than we've been thinking this last month or so where hi would win most of the state he is won in 2008 minus north carolina and indiana. that's an early night for us all. althoughs pennsylvania better than i do. i don't think it's been awe thenltally in play. i think there was a series of head fakes going on but that's never been a central battleground. >> rose: mark? >> well, they're winning pennsylvania because this is the first campaign where no one has to make choices about money because they have enough to spend and they had extra money and there wasn't any other place to put and the public polls make it clear it's closer. the president will win by a more narrow margin than four years ago. i think that the -- i agree with matthew the fundamentals matter most of all. ohio is a tricky place, though, because w
Nov 1, 2012 7:00pm EDT
this message. >> woodruff: but the romney campaign also began airing a spanish-language ad in florida tying obama to latin american dictators hugo chavez and fidel castro. >> we are america's women. >> woodruff: and american future fund, a super pac supporting romney is running ads targeting women in michigan and pennsylvania, states considered safely democratic. as you can see on the "newshour's" vote 2012 map center" there are seven states currently considered by the associated press to be true toss ups: nevada, colorado, iowa, ohio, virginia, florida and new hampshire. it shows each candidate's quickest potential path to 270 electoral votes. including one scenario giving president obama a path to victory, winning nevada and ohio, to get to 277 electoral votes. for mitt romney the path could also lead through ohio, and blanketing the south, to get to 281 in a different scenario. and there are also several potentials for tie. this one shows the president losing nevada but winning ohio, to get to 269 for both candidates. and late today, the "newshour" got word that romney will make a last-m
Nov 9, 2012 8:30pm EST
.c. >> in florida, where we think there was a voter suppression effort, the african-american vote went from 11% to 15%. >> mark? >> two point. not to tap dance on mitt romney's campaign, but what was the bold idea of the romney campaign that would survive his candidacy? barry goldwater energize the thousands of people. he gave his party and new direction. george mcgovern did that. but i just do not think there was. once you do not have a bold idea, the candidacy is in peril. >> governor romney survived several primaries, tough debates to get the nomination. there is a lot of second- guessing. i know, he wrote about it today. >> he introduced to the nation this idea of a more strict constitutional conservatism. however, i do not think they ought to go around complaining about choice of candidates. they threw away senate seats that were absolutely slam-dunk republican in indiana and missouri, and the last cycle they throw away a slam dunk republican seats in maryland, colorado, and nevada. so, the left and the right of the party and all of its wings made -- made mistakes in choosing candidates.
Nov 7, 2012 1:00am EST
in florida is trailing narrowly by about a thousand votes with just a couple percent not yet counted and michele bachmann is up by a margin like that, just a bare narrow lead in a very tight race in minnesota. so we're keeping an eye on that and if both of them were not in the house, i wonder whether that would change the tone of the entire body. i'm not sure. >> and bachmann's seat was redrawn to make it slightly more safe for republicans in redistricting. so that's interesting. we were surprised when we were looking at that, particularly given how much money and effort the republicans put into minnesota at the last minute at the presidential level. >> that's right. and right now it seems to be looking as if the democrats are going to gain somewhere between four and ten seats. >> ifill: some of the president's top staff are walking into the hall at mccormick place. i just saw jack lou, the president's chief of staff and jay carney, the president's press secretary. the entourage has arrived and they're ready to join the party. >> woodruff: as we watch this, can i just ask stu, jeff,